Weekly Wrap-Up Week of January 8

January 12, 2024

In our Weekly Wrap-Up we share with you what we have seen happening and trading in the market.

What we have seen in the market this week

Market in general

After a slow and stable start of the first trading week of the year, ONIL announced additional purchases, partly driven by a fire in local warehouses.

The results show the same picture as the past year; NZ is still happy to sell WMP volumes and Algeria is one of the few destinations where EU origin can achieve decent returns.

New-Zealand is still competitive on the world market for powders, the US can be competitive when selling stocks. We see a promising start of the milk output in Europe.

This combined with a fragile cheese market tells us we don't have to wait long for volatility to return.

Within OpenDairy we have seen the following activity

Butter - Weaker, mainly driven by producers lowering prices. End users are not keen to book and seem well covered. Hard to find direction, we believe the milk output development will be crucial in the butter sentiment.

5

SMP - Weak undertone in Europe especially. The Algerian purchases did not cause any firmer sentiment, as prices are still not competitive on the world market. Red sea surcharges will result in lower EU SMP prices. We hope there is still demand with end buyers when the EU milk starts to flow.

BMP - Fresh availability is limited, but stocks seem to be available, especially for Irish product. We heard very low prices traded in the MENA region.

SMP demand is limited, which typically means BMP is slow as well.

6

SWP - Feed trading around EUR 800 CPT. Food quality steady around EUR 875-950exw depending on origin. High WPC market still very firm.

Some of the offers / bids we have at OpenDairy
  • Fresh Codex SMP Q1 @ EUR 2500 FCA, exportable
  • Lithuanian SMP @ EUR 2530 FCA on OpenDairy
  • Summer 2023 Prod Codex SMP around EUR 2400 FCA NL
  • Buyers for FCMP in EU, EUR 3600-3650 target
  • Offer for DE SWP Food, BB, EUR 865/mt FCA NL

As usual, if you would like to know more please don't hesitate to contact us!

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